2012年11月15日木曜日
Massive Flare Burst On Nov. 15 , 2012
Massive Solar Flare Heading Towards Earth
Friday, November 16, 2012 14:44
A huge mass of electrically-charged particles thrown out by a gigantic eruption on the Sun is due to strike the Earth tonight.
Scientists expect it to trigger one of the most violent geomagnetic storms ever recorded.
The result could be widespread power surges and even blackouts, disrupted TV and mobile phone signals, and broken down communication satellites.
At the same time the Northern Lights, normally confined to polar latitudes, may produce dazzling displays in the skies above southern Britain.
At least one satellite has already been knocked out of action by the storm. Japan’s space agency said its Kodama communications satellite had been temporarily shut down after malfunctioning.
The solar flare that caused the eruption burst out of a sunspot at 10.54am yesterday.
Experts said it was the strongest flare seen in the past 30 years. The explosion caused a coronal mass ejection (CME) which is now speeding towards Earth.
Before It's News
http://beforeitsnews.com/space/2012/11/massive-solar-flare-heading-towards-earth-2449554.html
2012年10月23日火曜日
X1.8 Flare on Oct. 23, 2012
Solar Weather Alert (Solar Flare X1.8 Eruption)
Tuesday, October 23, 2012 9:53
AR 1598 erupted again, for the 4th time, on October 23, 2012. It produced a X1.8 Solar Flare, but it did not produce a CME or Coronal Mass Ejection.
Because it did not produce a CME, the effect of the flare hit the earth within minutes and only produced ionization in the upper atmosphere causing some radio blackouts in Asia and Australia, which was facing the sun at the time.
Since AR1598 is very active NOAA has changed the flare forecasts. Currently M-classes forecasts are at 75% for the next 48 hrs and X-Class is at 20% chance of occurring.
For More Information and full report please visit Common Sense Preparedness at http://cspdb.com/csp/index.php/solar-report/317-solar-weather-alert-solar-flare-x1-8-eruption
Before It's News
http://beforeitsnews.com/space/2012/10/solar-weather-alert-solar-flare-x1-8-eruption-2448376.html
2012年10月15日月曜日
PREDICCS starts on October, 2012
By Alton Parrish (Reporter)
Solar Radiation Alert, Shock Warning With Real Time Tool
Monday, October 15, 2012 9:45
Before It's News
http://beforeitsnews.com/space/2012/10/solar-radiation-alert-shock-warning-with-real-time-tool-2447898.html
PREDICCS
http://prediccs.sr.unh.edu/
Astrophysicists from the University of New Hampshire’s Space Science Center (SSC) have created the first online system for predicting and forecasting the radiation environment in near-Earth, lunar, and Martian space environments. The near real-time tool will provide critical information as preparations are made for potential future manned missions to the moon and Mars.
Before It's News
http://beforeitsnews.com/space/2012/10/solar-radiation-alert-shock-warning-with-real-time-tool-2447898.html
PREDICCS
http://prediccs.sr.unh.edu/
To make its radiation assessments, PREDICCS integrates two radiation environment models, including the Earth-Moon-Mars Radiation Environment Module (EMMREM) developed at UNH.
“Complex applications like EMMREM are able to leverage observations from all relevant space missions,” notes NASA’s Madhulika Guhathakurta, LWS program scientist.
A blog has been developed for PREDICCS that allows people to understand how the tool works and how to interpret the various graphs of radiation dosage.
Note’s Schwadron, “For the first time people are able to see the affects of space radiation playing out in near real-time, and this opens a new window to an otherwise invisible world.”
Before It's News
http://beforeitsnews.com/space/2012/10/solar-radiation-alert-shock-warning-with-real-time-tool-2447898.html
PREDICCS
http://prediccs.sr.unh.edu/
“There hasn’t been enough work done to ask, ‘Is it really a showstopper and, if so, why, and what are the problems we need to solve so that it isn’t a showstopper?’”
That work has now been done, and the proof is in PREDICCS.
Among other satellite measurements used by PREDICCS are solar energetic particle data from the Cosmic Ray Telescope for the Effects of Radiation
(CRaTER) instrument on NASA’s Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter. CRaTER, whose principal investigator is Harlan Spence, director of EOS and a co-developer of PREDICCS, has made the most accurate and comprehensive measurements of radiation at the moon since the dawn of the space age.
During several recent large solar events in which the sun, waking from an unusually long quiet period, sent billions of tons of high-energy particles rippling through space, the radiation levels measured by CRaTER as it orbited the moon were matched almost perfectly by PREDICCS.
“For the whopping solar events of January 23 and March 27 of this year, our predictions seem to be within 20 to 30 percent of what was observed, which is incredible. These types of highly accurate comparisons have never been made before,” Schwadron says.
CRaTER, which gauges radiation doses using a high-tech material called “tissue-equivalent plastic” that mimics human muscle, has thus not only provided the validation that PREDICCS models are accurate, but has done so in the context of how the radiation data would impact human beings on the moon or on a mission to Mars.
“We needed to accurately assess what the biological impacts are to make the best quantitative comparisons between models and observations,” says Schwadron, “and having a system like this in place now is sort of like flying a trial balloon in preparation for a return to the moon and a trip to Mars.”
Before It's News
http://beforeitsnews.com/space/2012/10/solar-radiation-alert-shock-warning-with-real-time-tool-2447898.html
PREDICCS
http://prediccs.sr.unh.edu/
Solar Radiation Alert, Shock Warning With Real Time Tool
Monday, October 15, 2012 9:45
Before It's News
http://beforeitsnews.com/space/2012/10/solar-radiation-alert-shock-warning-with-real-time-tool-2447898.html
PREDICCS
http://prediccs.sr.unh.edu/
Astrophysicists from the University of New Hampshire’s Space Science Center (SSC) have created the first online system for predicting and forecasting the radiation environment in near-Earth, lunar, and Martian space environments. The near real-time tool will provide critical information as preparations are made for potential future manned missions to the moon and Mars.
Before It's News
http://beforeitsnews.com/space/2012/10/solar-radiation-alert-shock-warning-with-real-time-tool-2447898.html
PREDICCS
http://prediccs.sr.unh.edu/
To make its radiation assessments, PREDICCS integrates two radiation environment models, including the Earth-Moon-Mars Radiation Environment Module (EMMREM) developed at UNH.
“Complex applications like EMMREM are able to leverage observations from all relevant space missions,” notes NASA’s Madhulika Guhathakurta, LWS program scientist.
A blog has been developed for PREDICCS that allows people to understand how the tool works and how to interpret the various graphs of radiation dosage.
Note’s Schwadron, “For the first time people are able to see the affects of space radiation playing out in near real-time, and this opens a new window to an otherwise invisible world.”
Before It's News
http://beforeitsnews.com/space/2012/10/solar-radiation-alert-shock-warning-with-real-time-tool-2447898.html
PREDICCS
http://prediccs.sr.unh.edu/
“There hasn’t been enough work done to ask, ‘Is it really a showstopper and, if so, why, and what are the problems we need to solve so that it isn’t a showstopper?’”
That work has now been done, and the proof is in PREDICCS.
Among other satellite measurements used by PREDICCS are solar energetic particle data from the Cosmic Ray Telescope for the Effects of Radiation
(CRaTER) instrument on NASA’s Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter. CRaTER, whose principal investigator is Harlan Spence, director of EOS and a co-developer of PREDICCS, has made the most accurate and comprehensive measurements of radiation at the moon since the dawn of the space age.
During several recent large solar events in which the sun, waking from an unusually long quiet period, sent billions of tons of high-energy particles rippling through space, the radiation levels measured by CRaTER as it orbited the moon were matched almost perfectly by PREDICCS.
“For the whopping solar events of January 23 and March 27 of this year, our predictions seem to be within 20 to 30 percent of what was observed, which is incredible. These types of highly accurate comparisons have never been made before,” Schwadron says.
CRaTER, which gauges radiation doses using a high-tech material called “tissue-equivalent plastic” that mimics human muscle, has thus not only provided the validation that PREDICCS models are accurate, but has done so in the context of how the radiation data would impact human beings on the moon or on a mission to Mars.
“We needed to accurately assess what the biological impacts are to make the best quantitative comparisons between models and observations,” says Schwadron, “and having a system like this in place now is sort of like flying a trial balloon in preparation for a return to the moon and a trip to Mars.”
Before It's News
http://beforeitsnews.com/space/2012/10/solar-radiation-alert-shock-warning-with-real-time-tool-2447898.html
PREDICCS
http://prediccs.sr.unh.edu/
2012年10月14日日曜日
NOTE / IS OUR SUN DYING
IS OUR SUN DYING
"Courtesy of SOHO/[instrument] consortium. SOHO is a project of international cooperation between ESA and NASA."
SCIENTIST ARE NOW STARTING TO BELIEVE THE IMPOSSIBLE THAT OUR SUN IS FAR OLDER THAN ONCE THORT AND THATS ITS A DYING STAR ,FROM THE EARLY 70S OUR SUN HAS BEEN COOLING DOWN AND IT IS BEHAVING VERY UNUSUAL AND ERRATIC AS IF ITS USING UP ITS HYDROGEN TO FAST IN FACT FAR FASTER THAN SCIENTISTS CLAIM IT WOULD FOR A STAR ITS SIZE NOW IF THIS IS HAPPENING IT WILL FALL BACK ON THE NEXT ELEMENT TO BURN HELIUM AND WILL IN TIME TURN INTO A RED GIANT .IT WONT EXPLODE BECAUSE IT DOESNT HAVE THE MASS ,BUT IF OUR SUNS CORE IS SHRINKING THEN THIS WOULD EXPLAIN THE ERRATIC BEHAVIOUR OF OUR LIFE GIVING STAR AND THERE ARE SIGNS ITS STARTED TO EXPAND ALREADY JUST LOOK AT THE SOHO SATELLITE
IMAGES NASA ARE HAVING TO INCREASE THE SIZE OF THE FILTER WHEN FILMING THE SUN A SURE SIGN OUR GIANT NEIGHBOUR IS EXPANDING ,SO WHAT WILL HAPPEN WHEN IT TURNS INTO A GIANT RED STAR ,WELL ITS NOT GOOD FIRST MERCURY WILL BE VAPORIZED FOLLOWED BY VENUS THEN EARTH AND MARS ,KNOW WONDER NASA IS WORKING ON PLANS TO MOVE EARTHS ORBITAL LOCATION,ALSO A CROP CIRCLE APPEARED SHOWING THE SUN AS IT IS NOW THEN ANOTHER CIRCLE SHOWING IT EXPANDED THIS I BELIEVE IS A WARNING FROM OUR FRIENDS IN THE COSMOS OF WHATS HAPPENING.
IS THIS THE SMOKING GUN
CORNELL UNIVERSITY CONFIRMS THE MOONS AND EARTHS ORBIT HAS CHANGED
AND THAT THE SUN IS BEING BADLY EFFECTED,AND CLAIMS THE THAT THIS COULD BE THE RESULT OF A MASSIVE PLANET X TYPE OBJECT THATS COMING IN
http://arxiv.org/abs/1102.0212
7.2 EARTHQUAKE STRIKES TURKEY
MANY DEAD REPORTED 23rd oct 2011
THE COMING OF NIBIRU AND THE ENDTIMES
endtimes23
https://sites.google.com/site/informernewsendtimes23/
2012年8月6日月曜日
solar storm alert on Aug. 6, 2012
Sky News: World on alert for massive solar storm
Updated: 14:23, Monday August 6, 2012
Sky News
http://www.skynews.com.au/world/article.aspx?id=780392
Sky News: World on alert for massive solar storm
Updated: 14:23, Monday August 6, 2012
World on alert for massive solar storm
Power grids, communications and satellites could be knocked out by a massive solar storm in the next two years, scientists warn.
Experts say the sun is reaching a peak in its 10-year activity cycle, putting the Earth at greater risk from solar storms.
Mike Hapgood, a space weather specialist at the Rutherford Appleton Laboratory near Didcot, Oxfordshire, said: 'Governments are taking it very seriously.
These things may be very rare but when they happen, the consequences can be catastrophic.'
He warned that solar storms are increasingly being put on national risk registers used for disaster planning, alongside other events like tsunamis and volcanic eruptions.
There is 12% chance of a major solar storm every decade - making them a roughly one-in-100-year event. The last major storm was more than 150 years ago.
The threat comes from magnetically-charged plasma thrown out by the sun in coronal mass ejections.
Like vast bubbles bursting off the sun's surface, they send millions of tons of gas racing through space that can engulf the Earth with as little as one day's warning.
They trigger geomagnetic storms which can literally melt expensive transformers in national power grids.
Satellites can be damaged or destroyed and radio communications - including with jet airliners - could be knocked out.
Teams of scientists in North America and Europe monitor the sun and issue warnings to governments, power companies and airline operators.
In 1989, a solar storm was blamed for taking out the entire power network in Quebec, Canada, which left millions without electricity for nine hours.
The largest was known as the Carrington event in 1859, when British astronomer Richard Carrington observed a large solar eruption that took just 17 hours to reach the Earth's atmosphere.
It caused the aurora borealis - or Northern Lights - to be seen as far south as the Caribbean.
Sky News
http://www.skynews.com.au/world/article.aspx?id=780392
2012年7月2日月曜日
M-Class Solar Flares on Jul 2 , 2012
By John Rolls (Editor)
Alert: Four M-Class Solar Flares in the Last 48 Hours
Mon Jul 2 12:29
100% of readers think this story is Fact.
Add your two cents.
Expect shift in Earth's ElectroMagnetic field and turbulence in human consciousness. "Watch for extreme weather break-outs over the next 72 hours. They could take many forms such as tropical storms turning into hurricanes, earthquake or volcanic eruptions, sudden temperature rapid shifts, tornadoes, straight-line winds, micro-burst.
Since latest research on cosmic rays and thunderstorms, I now add to watch for extreme lightning storms." ~ Mitch Battross The 'Cosmic Trigger' via Galactic Alignment and Surge in the Source Field To understand the 2012 surge in the Source Field, watch the 4 minute animated YouTube video above keeping in mind the cosmic connection between the Great Central Sun of our Galaxy (white fire core)... through billions of Suns in the Galactic Plane (Photon Belt)... to our Sun in our Solar System, to Earth... explaining why 'more light' is accelerating 'spontaneous evolution' on atomic and cellular (DNA) levels.
Before It's News http://beforeitsnews.com/story/2334/398/Alert:_Four_M-Class_Solar_Flares_in_the_Last_48_Hours.html
Add your two cents.
Expect shift in Earth's ElectroMagnetic field and turbulence in human consciousness. "Watch for extreme weather break-outs over the next 72 hours. They could take many forms such as tropical storms turning into hurricanes, earthquake or volcanic eruptions, sudden temperature rapid shifts, tornadoes, straight-line winds, micro-burst.
Since latest research on cosmic rays and thunderstorms, I now add to watch for extreme lightning storms." ~ Mitch Battross The 'Cosmic Trigger' via Galactic Alignment and Surge in the Source Field To understand the 2012 surge in the Source Field, watch the 4 minute animated YouTube video above keeping in mind the cosmic connection between the Great Central Sun of our Galaxy (white fire core)... through billions of Suns in the Galactic Plane (Photon Belt)... to our Sun in our Solar System, to Earth... explaining why 'more light' is accelerating 'spontaneous evolution' on atomic and cellular (DNA) levels.
Before It's News http://beforeitsnews.com/story/2334/398/Alert:_Four_M-Class_Solar_Flares_in_the_Last_48_Hours.html
2012年4月25日水曜日
The Planet In Front Of The Sun
The Planet In Front Of The Sun, A Once-In-A-Lifetime Event!
Wed Apr 25 03:23
100% of readers think this story is Fact. Add your two cents.
On June 5th, 2012, the planet Venus will pass in front of the Sun as seen from Earth in what for many will be a once-in-a-lifetime event: a transit of Venus.
The transit will be visible across Canada and in other parts of the world, and is already garnering global attention.
But should you care?
The next transit of Venus will be in 2117
Photo of Venus
Image courtesy of Antonio Cerezo, Pablo Alexandre, Jesus Merchan and David Marsan
“The last transit of Venus occurred in 2004. If you missed it, this year’s event will literally be a once-in-a-lifetime experience as the next transit of Venus won’t occur until 2117,” said ProfessorMichael Reid, Director of Education & Public Outreach at the U of T’s Dunlap Institute for Astronomy & Astrophysics.\
“What’s more, transits have great historical and contemporary significance,” said Reid. “In the 1700s and 1800s, transits of Venus gave astronomers their first accurate measurements of the distance to the Sun and Captain Cook observed the 1769 transit from Tahiti. Today, astronomers use transits to find planets outside our Solar System, known as exoplanets.”
Reid is one of the speakers at U of T’s Transit of Venus symposium April 28, 2012, organized by the University’s Dunlap Institute for Astronomy & Astrophysics and Institute for the History & Philosophy of Science & Technology, and with the support of the Department of Astronomy & Astrophysics. Keynote speakers will be: Jay Pasachoff, renowned researcher, astrophotographer, science communicator and transit expert; and Professor James Graham, director of the Dunlap Institute for Astronomy & Astrophysics.
“Given the widespread interest in this rare event, we’re bringing together experts who will present talks on a wide variety of transit-related topics of interest to scientific and academic communities, educators, as well as journalists planning on covering the June 5th spectacle,” Reid said.
Topics include: the centuries-long history of transits and the expeditions to observe them; how to view the transit safely; incorporating the transit into school math and science curricula; and the connection between the transit of Venus and the search for planets around distant stars.
“When an exoplanet passes between us and its parent star—when the planet transits the star—the star appears to dim slightly,” Graham said. “By measuring the amount and duration of the dimming, and the interval between subsequent transits, astronomers can determine the size of the unseen planet and its orbital distance from the parent star.
“This allows us to determine whether a planet is small, like Earth, and whether it orbits at the right distance from the star so that it is neither too hot nor too cold for water to exist in liquid form and hence whether it might support life.”
Many researchers at U of T are involved in the search for exoplanets. Dunlap post-doctoral fellow Quinn Konopacky was part of a team that, in 2009, discovered a fourth gas-giant planet around a star in the constellation Pegasus, making that planetary system similar to our own. Dunlap post-doctoral fellowNicholas Law leads a variety of projects to detect transits of M-dwarf stars. And Graham is Project Scientist for the Gemini Planet Imager which will survey roughly a thousand of the nearest stars in order to record images of any Jupiter-size exoplanets in orbit around them.
The U of T symposium will be held in Alumni Hall of St. Michael’s College on the University’s St. George Campus, 121 St. Joseph Street. Sessions begin at 10am and end at 5pm. The symposium will also include a tour of a new exhibit of astronomical instruments as part of the University of Toronto Scientific Instrument Collaboration. Symposium attendance is free and no registration is required.
Before It's News
http://beforeitsnews.com/story/2068/867/The_Planet_In_Front_Of_The_Sun,_A_Once-In-A-Lifetime_Event.html
2012年4月22日日曜日
Solar Poles To Become Quadrupolar In May , 2012
Solar Poles To Become Quadrupolar In May
Sun Apr 22 02:46
The Yomiuri Shimbun
Before It's News
http://beforeitsnewhttp://beforeitsnews.com/story/2055/580/Solar_Poles_To_Become_Quadrupolar_In_May.html
Magnetic field polarity at the solar poles will reverse and become quadrupolar in May, meaning positive fields will emerge in the North and South poles and negative fields will emerge on the equator, according to the National Astronomical Observatory of Japan and other institutes.
When a similar phenomenon occurred about 300 years ago, the Earth's average temperature fell slightly.
A research team led by Saku Tsuneta, a professor at the observatory, analyzed solar magnetic fields data using Hinode, an observational satellite, and confirmed that the polarity of the magnetic field at the North Pole began to reverse in July last year.
The researchers also found the magnetic field at the South Pole, which was expected to reverse along with the North Pole, maintained a positive polarity, ensuring the formation of a quadrupole magnetic field.
The cause behind the shifts in polar fields is not understood. However, it is known that the shifts coincide with the increase and decrease in the number of sunspots over an about 11-year cycle.
The current sunspot cycle has stretched for close to 13 years. A similar situation occurred in the 17th to 18th century, when the average temperature of the Northern Hemisphere decreased by 0.6 C. The research team believes the quadrupolar pattern also emerged at that time.
www.yomiuri.co.jp/dy/features/sci...005829.htm
=================================
DisClaimer:
I just stumbeled on this and I can not confirm this source's credibility
Before It's News
http://beforeitsnewhttp://beforeitsnews.com/story/2055/580/Solar_Poles_To_Become_Quadrupolar_In_May.html
Sun Apr 22 02:46
The Yomiuri Shimbun
Before It's News
http://beforeitsnewhttp://beforeitsnews.com/story/2055/580/Solar_Poles_To_Become_Quadrupolar_In_May.html
Magnetic field polarity at the solar poles will reverse and become quadrupolar in May, meaning positive fields will emerge in the North and South poles and negative fields will emerge on the equator, according to the National Astronomical Observatory of Japan and other institutes.
When a similar phenomenon occurred about 300 years ago, the Earth's average temperature fell slightly.
A research team led by Saku Tsuneta, a professor at the observatory, analyzed solar magnetic fields data using Hinode, an observational satellite, and confirmed that the polarity of the magnetic field at the North Pole began to reverse in July last year.
The researchers also found the magnetic field at the South Pole, which was expected to reverse along with the North Pole, maintained a positive polarity, ensuring the formation of a quadrupole magnetic field.
The cause behind the shifts in polar fields is not understood. However, it is known that the shifts coincide with the increase and decrease in the number of sunspots over an about 11-year cycle.
The current sunspot cycle has stretched for close to 13 years. A similar situation occurred in the 17th to 18th century, when the average temperature of the Northern Hemisphere decreased by 0.6 C. The research team believes the quadrupolar pattern also emerged at that time.
www.yomiuri.co.jp/dy/features/sci...005829.htm
=================================
DisClaimer:
I just stumbeled on this and I can not confirm this source's credibility
Before It's News
http://beforeitsnewhttp://beforeitsnews.com/story/2055/580/Solar_Poles_To_Become_Quadrupolar_In_May.html
2012年4月7日土曜日
Note / An Episode In Solar Activity
P. Gosselin: Scientists Say A Grand Episode In Solar Activity Started in 2008 - But No Support For A Grand (Maunder-Type) Minimum | Solar Cycle 25
Solar Cycle 25
http://www.cdejager.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/09/2012-sudden-trans-JSWSC-2-A073.pdf
P. GOSSELIN
P. Gosselin: Scientists Say A Grand Episode In Solar Activity Started in 2008 - But No Support For A Grand (Maunder-Type) Minimum
Wednesday, July 4th 2012, 9:18 AM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
Cornelis De Jager of the Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research and Silvia Duhau of the Departamento de Fisica, Facultad de Ingenieria, Universidad de Buenos Aires have published a new paper in the Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate titled:
Sudden transitions and grand variations in the solar dynamo, past and future.
I’m not sure if other bloggers have written about this. If so, here it is again. The paper forecasts solar activity for the current Solar cycle 24, which they expect will peak in May, 2013 with a maximum sunspot number Rmax of 62 ± 12.
More importantly, the authors write (emphasis added):
The subsequent analysis, based on a phase diagram, which is a diagram showing the relation between maximum sunspot numbers and minimum geomagnetic aa index values leads to the conclusion that a new Grand Episode in solar activity has started in 2008.”
…we predict that this Grand Episode will be of the Regular Oscillations type, which is the kind of oscillations that also occurred between 1724 and 1924. Previous expectations of a Grand (Maunder-type) Minimum of solar activity cannot be supported. We stress the significance of the Hallstatt periodicity for determining the character of the forthcoming Grand Episodes. No Grand Minimum is expected to occur during the millennium that has just started.”
That of course is good news, as the world can ill-afford climate conditions like the ones we saw during the Maunder Minimum - especially with governments racing to prepare for the exact opposite.
The full paper is available here.
Solar Cycle 25
http://sc25.com/index.php?id=395
Cornelis De Jager
http://www.cdejager.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/09/2012-sudden-trans-JSWSC-2-A073.pdf
登録:
コメント (Atom)